How MPM works — in plain English.
No jargon. Here's what we do, why it's different, and which part is right for you.
We don't predict the market. We measure how it reacts.
Most trading services try to tell you where price will go next — a guess dressed up as a forecast. We do something different and more honest.
Markets tend to react at certain price levels — areas of support and resistance. Our model identifies those levels (we call them "zones") using math, then tracks what price actually did every time it reached one.
The result isn't a prediction. It's a measured probability: when price reaches a zone, here's how often it has held, and how often it has broken. You make the decision — we give you the odds.
Two things matter at any level. We measure both.
Will price reach this zone?
We call this Reach probability — how likely price is to actually get to a level.
What happens when it gets there?
We call this Reaction probability — once price reaches a zone, how likely it is to hold or break.
Most tools only guess at the first. We measure both, from years of real data.
Where to start, depending on what you need.
Start free — explore everything
Current Zones
See today's structured support and resistance zones across NQ, Gold, Silver, Crude, Copper, and ES — with reach and reaction probabilities for each.
View ZonesModel Reaction
See how every zone actually reacted — reach %, reaction %, and outcome. Every zone tracked, not just the winners.
See ReactionsDaily Analysis
Plain-language market commentary and daily write-ups — context for what the zones are showing.
Read AnalysisReady to build your own edge — not just follow ours?
Includes complete research packages, source code, validation reports, and more.
Explore The Intelligence CircleA one-time purchase — includes lifetime access to both libraries below, plus limited-time MPM Zone Alerts.
Everything in one place — no monthly subscription.
Go deeper — paid plans
Reaction Library
The full 7-year record of how our zones reacted across four markets — 5,617 touches, every hold and every break.
Best for: traders who want to study the behavior and build pattern recognition.
Explore the LibraryBacktest Library
See how a trade is executed and what happens after taking a position at our structured zones — and how you could have applied your own trading techniques or style.
Best for: studying real trade execution in depth.
See the BacktestsAlerts
Daily price zone alerts, extended zones during extreme moves, pre-NY zones, economic data interpretation, and major breaking-news impact — delivered by WhatsApp and email.
Learn about AlertsWhy we show the low win rate, not hide it.
The trading world is obsessed with win rate. But win rate alone tells you almost nothing about whether a strategy makes money. Here's proof — the same strategy, same instrument, same data, same four years. The only difference is the exit rules.
Silver (SI) · Apr 2022 – Apr 2026
High win rate
Looks safer. Wins most of the time.
Low win rate
Wins less than a third of the time — and made more than double the money.
The zones didn't change.
The market didn't change.
The data didn't change.
Only the decisions changed.
That's the difference between following signals and developing skill.
The Backtest Library lets you study over a thousand backtested trades on real historical market data, and see how different trade-management choices impact results. Whether you scale out, trail, target larger moves, or take quick profits — the same reaction can tell a very different story. Because profitable trading isn't just about finding opportunities; it's about knowing what to do with them.
Ready to see it for yourself?
Want the full framework? Go deeper into the model →